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#109839 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 09.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006 A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 64.9W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 90SW 225NW. 12 FT SEAS..475NE 225SE 150SW 325NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 64.9W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 64.7W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.9N 65.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 100SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.8N 65.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 35SW 80NW. 34 KT...250NE 225SE 100SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.8N 65.4W...NEAR BERMUDA MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...275NE 250SE 100SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 34.4N 64.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...300NE 275SE 100SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...350NE 350SE 150SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 46.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 49.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 64.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB |