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| #110251 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 11.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.4N 58.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.7N 59.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N 60.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 31.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 34.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 57.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER COBB/PASCH |
