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#110314 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 11.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 63.9W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. 34 KT.......250NE 200SE 125SW 250NW. 12 FT SEAS..475NE 350SE 450SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 63.9W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 64.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 275SE 175SW 275NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 275SE 175SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 300SE 225SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 125SW 0NW. 34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 360SE 320SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 63.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |