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| #11035 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 01.Oct.2004) TCMAT3 HURRICANE LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 2100Z FRI OCT 01 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 45.1W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 120SE 100SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 45.1W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 43.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.5N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.4N 45.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
