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| #1103739 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 20.Aug.2022) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042022 1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022 ...DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND THE CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS ENDED... ...HEAVY RAINS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 97.9W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the coast of Texas. The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of northeastern Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 97.9 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A north-northwestward motion is expected until the system dissipates on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and the disturbance is expected to dissipate on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Locally gusty winds in squalls are possible over portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas tonight. RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches, along the northeastern coast of Mexico across the state of Tamaulipas today. These rains could produce isolated flash flooding across coastal northeast Mexico. Rainfall amounts of less than an inch are expected farther to the north across far South Texas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system, please see statements issued by local National Weather Service offices in the United States and by the Meteorological Service of Mexico. $$ Forecaster Beven |
