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| #110397 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 12.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 23.0W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 23.0W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 22.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.7N 25.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.0N 28.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.5N 31.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.0N 34.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.5N 41.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 23.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
