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#110406 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 12.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.2W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT.......360NE 300SE 240SW 360NW. 12 FT SEAS..475NE 375SE 450SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 61.2W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 62.0W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.6N 58.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 43.9N 55.1W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 200SE 200SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 47.8N 44.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 420SE 360SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 49.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 420SE 360SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 61.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH |