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#110407 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 12.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.3W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 58.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.4N 58.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.8N 58.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.4N 58.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 58.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.1N 49.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 58.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER COBB/PASCH |