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#1105946 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 05.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 05 2022 ...EARL APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 65.2W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM N OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Earl. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 65.2 West. Earl is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a generally northward motion is expected to continue for the next day or two, followed by a turn to the north-northeast with some increase in forward speed. Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast over the next few days, and Earl is expected to become a hurricane on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |