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#1105979 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 AM 06.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 500 AM AST Tue Sep 06 2022 ...EARL A BIT DISHEVELED THIS MORNING... ...STILL EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 65.4W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM N OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Earl. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 65.4 West. Earl is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slow northward to north-northwestward motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A faster motion toward the north-northeast and northeast is expected Wednesday night through Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Earl is expected to become a hurricane during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |