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| #11060 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:21 PM 01.Oct.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 0300Z SAT OCT 02 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 42.8W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 75SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 42.8W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 43.8W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 41.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 44.2N 32.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 45.6N 23.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 46.5N 13.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...EXTRATROPICAL EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...EXTRATROPICAL OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...EXTRATROPICAL REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N 42.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
