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#1106010 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 06.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 06 2022 ...EARL HOLDING IN INTENSITY... ...STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 65.7W ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM N OF ST. THOMAS ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should continue to monitor the progress of Earl. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 23.7 North, longitude 65.7 West. Earl is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn to the north-northeast starting on Wednesday. NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicates that maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Earl is forecast to maintain its strength today followed by intensification resuming by tomorrow. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |