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| #1106087 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 PM 06.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 0300 UTC WED SEP 07 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.8W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 20SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.8W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.8N 65.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.3N 65.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 29.1N 65.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 31.1N 63.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.7N 61.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 190SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 42.9N 47.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 44.9N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 65.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 07/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH |
