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| #1106155 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 07.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC WED SEP 07 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 65.7W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 65.7W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.8N 65.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.5N 65.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 30.4N 64.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 140SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.4N 57.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 230SE 200SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.1N 53.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 270SE 230SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 45.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 47.0N 47.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 65.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 07/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
