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| #1106195 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 07.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 2100 UTC WED SEP 07 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT SOME POINT THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 65.5W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......130NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 65.5W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 65.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.8N 65.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 29.7N 64.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.0N 62.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N 59.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 75SE 55SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 190SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 38.6N 55.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 250SE 230SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 41.8N 50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 270SE 230SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 45.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 47.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 65.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 08/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
