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#110626 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 13.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.5W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.5W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 27.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.2N 30.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.8N 34.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 37.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N 39.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 43.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 28.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |