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| #1106319 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 08.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE THIS EVENING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 65.0W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 65.0W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 30.7N 64.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 55SE 35SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 61.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N 57.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 200SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.9N 53.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 280SE 230SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.6N 49.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 290SE 260SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.9N 48.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 200SE 220SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 46.1N 46.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 47.1N 40.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 65.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
