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| #1106369 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 500 PM AST Thu Sep 08 2022 ...EARL GROWING LARGER BUT NOT YET STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN BERMUDA TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 64.4W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case this evening. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case later today and tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 64.4 West. Earl is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with further acceleration tonight. A turn more northeastward is expected tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds measured by the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is still anticipated and Earl could become a major hurricane by tomorrow. Thereafter, some weakening and transition into a powerful extratropical cyclone is forecast on Saturday. Earl is growing larger, with Hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure measured by the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters is 961 mb (28.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning this evening. Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda overnight. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are building near Bermuda and are expected to reach the U.S. east coast tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
