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#1106370 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 2100 UTC THU SEP 08 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE THIS EVENING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 64.4W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 120SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 210SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 64.4W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 64.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.1N 62.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.2N 59.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 39.2N 55.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 280SE 230SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 42.6N 51.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.0N 50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...260NE 250SE 250SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 45.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 185SE 220SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 45.8N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 46.0N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 64.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |