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| #1106413 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 PM 08.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 08 2022 ...OUTER RAINBANDS OF EARL PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE GUSTS ON BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.3N 63.7W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case overnight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 63.7 West. Earl is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and an increase in forward speed is expected tonight, with a turn toward the northeast tomorrow. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Re-strengthening is still possible, and Earl could become a major hurricane by tomorrow. Thereafter, some weakening and a transition into a powerful extratropical cyclone is forecast on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). L.F. Wade International Airport on Bermuda recently reported a sustained wind of 37 mph (59 km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h). The minimum central pressure reported by the NOAA plane is 964 mb (28.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda overnight. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and are expected to reach the U.S. east coast tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Pasch |
