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| #1106463 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:59 AM 09.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Intermediate Advisory Number 26A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 800 AM AST Fri Sep 09 2022 ...EARL HEADING AWAY FROM BERMUDA... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 61.7W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next hour or so. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 61.7 West. Earl is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (29 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected today and tonight. Earl is then forecast to slow down considerably Saturday night and Sunday. On the forecast track, Earl will continue to move northeastward away from Bermuda today and will move to the southeast of Newfoundland Saturday and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast through tonight. Earl is expected to complete its transition to a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low on Saturday and then gradually weaken through early Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda for the next hour or so. Gusty winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland over the weekend after Earl becomes a post-tropical low. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across Bermuda through today. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East Coast and are expected to reach Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky |
