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| #1106475 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 09.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 61.0W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT.......100NE 110SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT.......170NE 200SE 170SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 61.0W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 61.9W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N 57.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 210SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 41.0N 54.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 320SE 250SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.5N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 90SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 290SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.4N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 45.1N 50.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 230SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 45.5N 49.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 200SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 45.5N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 46.0N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 61.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |
