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| #1106526 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 09.Sep.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Earl Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062022 500 PM AST Fri Sep 09 2022 ...LARGE EARL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT ACROSS THE WEST ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.9N 58.7W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the large ragged eye of Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 35.9 North, longitude 58.7 West. Earl is accelerating toward the northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is anticipated tonight. Earl is then forecast to slow down considerably Saturday night through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight fluctuations in intensity are possible this evening. Earl is expected to complete its transition to a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low on Saturday and then steadily weaken through early Monday. Earl is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 954 mb (28.17 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Earl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Gusty winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland over the weekend after Earl becomes a post-tropical low. SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East Coast and are expected to reach Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky |
