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#1106599 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 10.Sep.2022) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 53.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 50 KT.......110NE 180SE 110SW 180NW. 34 KT.......220NE 360SE 350SW 320NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 540SE 600SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 53.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 54.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 43.2N 52.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 180NW. 34 KT...270NE 360SE 330SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.1N 51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 300SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.5N 50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.7N 50.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 210SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 44.8N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 150SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.7N 46.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 90SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 44.9N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 45.3N 37.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |