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| #110820 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 36.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 36.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 36.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 39.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.8N 42.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 44.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.5N 53.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 36.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER COBB/BEVEN |
