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| #1108475 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 23.Sep.2022) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 500 AM AST Fri Sep 23 2022 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 68.6W ABOUT 615 MI...985 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM ESE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 68.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn more westward is forecast over the next next day or so followed by a turn back to the west-northwest and northwest by this weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slow intensification is forecast over the next day or so, followed by more significant intensification over the weekend and early next week. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for TD Nine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce the following rainfall: Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao: Additional 1 to 2 inches Northern Venezuela: 2 to 5 inches Northern Columbia: 3 to 6 inches Jamaica: 4 to 8 inches with local maximum up to 12 inches Cayman Islands: 4 to 8 inches Southern Haiti and Southern Dominican Republic: 2 to 4 inches with local maximum up to 6 inches These rains may produce flash flooding and mudslides in areas of higher terrain, particularly over Jamaica. SURF: Swells generated by this system will begin affecting Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Cuba over the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products form your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin |
