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#110861 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 14.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 54.9W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 54.9W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.3N 54.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.1N 53.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.9N 52.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.8N 51.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 54.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |