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| #1109536 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 28.Sep.2022) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SURF CITY...NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT...NORTH CAROLINA. THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FOR FLORIDA BAY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY * SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO * TAMPA BAY * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO THE MOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * ST. JOHNS RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INDIAN PASS TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER * FLAMINGO TO SEBASTIAN INLET * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SURF CITY * FLAMINGO TO CHOKOLOSKEE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET * FLORIDA BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 82.0W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 82.0W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 82.4W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.8N 81.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...250NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.8N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...360NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.0N 80.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...320NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.9N 80.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...210NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.0N 81.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 82.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
