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| #1109600 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 PM 28.Sep.2022) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BOCA RATON IS DISCONTINUED. STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM FLAMINGO EASTWARD TO THE CARD SOUND BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY * SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO * TAMPA BAY * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO THE MOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * ST. JOHNS RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INDIAN PASS TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER * BOCA RATON TO SEBASTIAN INLET * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SURF CITY * FLAMINGO TO CHOKOLOSKEE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.4W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 300SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.4W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 81.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N 80.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N 80.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...330NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.3N 80.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 140SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.1N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...210NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.0N 81.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.0N 81.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 81.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
