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| #110977 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 15.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 53.3W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 53.3W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.8N 52.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.5N 52.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.3N 49.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 120SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.5N 42.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 60SE 60SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 120SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 42.5N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 45.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 53.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |
