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#1109795 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 29.Sep.2022)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO
CAPE FEAR.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO CAPE FEAR.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CAPE FEAR RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO SURF
CITY...NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO CAPE FEAR
* NEUSE RIVER
* ST. JOHNS RIVER

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO CAPE FEAR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERO BEACH FLORIDA TO SAVANNAH RIVER
* EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO RIVER
* CAPE FEAR RIVER

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER
* EAST OF CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.9W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 0SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT.......360NE 140SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 79.9W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 80.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.5N 79.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.8N 79.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 35.0N 80.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 79.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE