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| #1110033 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 30.Sep.2022) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number 34 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 ...HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODING, AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE AS IAN MOVES INLAND OVER NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.3N 79.5W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSE OF GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watches and Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian was located near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 79.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Saturday as Ian moves farther inland across central North Carolina and Virginia. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over water off the Carolina coast. Ian is forecast to weaken through Saturday and dissipate by early Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. STORM SURGE: Surge related flooding will continue to recede along portions of the North Carolina coast, including the Pamlico Sound and Neuse River as well as the Albemarle Sound. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather forecast office. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are expected to continue over portions of North Carolina and South Carolina overnight as Ian moves farther inland. RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches, with local maxima of 8 inches across portions of North Carolina, West Virginia, and the southern Mid-Atlantic states. Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida through next week. Considerable flash, urban and small stream flooding is possible across portions of North Carolina and southern Virginia tonight into early Saturday, with minor river flooding possible over Coastal Carolinas. Limited flooding is possible across portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend. TORNADOES: A brief tornado remains possible through early Saturday morning across far southeast Virginia and the southern Delmarva Peninsula. SURF: Swells generated by Ian and a nearby frontal system are affecting the east coast of Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, and the northwestern Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart |
