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| #1110069 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 01.Oct.2022) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 500 AM EDT Sat Oct 01 2022 ...IAN'S HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.7N 79.8W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian was located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 79.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Ian is expected to move northward across central North Carolina this morning and reach south-central Virginia by this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over the waters east of North Carolina and Virginia. Additional weakening is expected, and Ian is forecast to dissipate over south-central Virginia by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. WIND: Gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the central and southern Appalachians through this morning. RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches with local maxima of 6 inches across portions of the Central Appalachians and coastal Mid-Atlantic. Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida through next week. Limited flash, urban and small stream flooding is possible across the central Appalachians and the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend, with minor river flooding expected over the coastal Carolinas. SURF: Swells generated by Ian are affecting the coast of the southeastern United States and the northwestern Bahamas but should gradually subside over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on Ian can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 11 AM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. $$ Forecaster Berg |
