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#111034 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 15.Sep.2006) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 53.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 53.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 53.5W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.7N 53.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 32.6N 52.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 33.6N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.5N 50.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 125SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 41.0N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 125SE 100SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |