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| #111035 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 15.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 42.8W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 42.8W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 42.2W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.7N 44.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.6N 46.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 26.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 42.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
