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#1111855 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 13.Oct.2022) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142022 0300 UTC FRI OCT 14 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN TO SABANCUY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALVARADO TO SABANCUY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 92.8W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 45SE 45SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 92.8W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 93.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.9N 92.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.0N 92.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 93.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 92.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/BERG |