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| #1114290 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:40 AM 01.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 1500 UTC TUE NOV 01 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN COAST. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA HERRERO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAY ISLANDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PUERTO BARRIOS TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS * NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA * CHETUMAL TO PUNTA HERRERO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 81.8W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 81.8W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 81.1W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.6N 83.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 86.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 88.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 89.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N 90.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 81.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
