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| #1114347 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 01.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 2100 UTC TUE NOV 01 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAY ISLANDS * NORTH OF PUERTO BARRIOS TO SOUTH OF CHETUMAL A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS * NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA * CHETUMAL TO PUNTA HERRERO...MEXICO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 83.3W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 83.3W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 82.5W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 85.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N 87.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.3N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.6N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.4N 93.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N 94.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N 93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 83.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
