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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1114418 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 02.Nov.2022)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022
0900 UTC WED NOV 02 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS
* NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 85.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.3N 87.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.5N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N 91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.2N 93.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.0N 94.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.2N 95.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.0N 94.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 86.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN