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| #1114458 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 02.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 HURRICANE LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 1500 UTC WED NOV 02 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS EAST OF PUNTA CASTILLA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE * CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS * NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA CASTILLA WESTWARD * NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA * PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 87.4W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 87.4W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.7W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 88.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 90.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.8N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.6N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.6N 95.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N 95.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.5N 94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 87.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
