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#1114576 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 03.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 0900 UTC THU NOV 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.1W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.1W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 89.6W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.9N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.4N 93.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N 94.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.9N 95.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N 95.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.8N 94.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 90.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |