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| #1114578 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 03.Nov.2022) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lisa Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022 400 AM CDT Thu Nov 03 2022 ...LISA CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... ...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 90.1W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM W OF BELIZE CITY ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Belize has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Belize. The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula, and southeastern Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of Lisa. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lisa was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 90.1 West. Lisa is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, bringing the center of Lisa across northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico. After that time, a turn to the northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected as Lisa moves over the Bay of Campeche. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast while the center remains over land, and Lisa is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Lisa is not expected to re-intensify once the center reaches the Bay of Campeche. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread inland during the next several hours over portions of northern Guatemala and the southern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. RAINFALL: Lisa is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches with local amounts to 10 inches across Belize, northern Guatemala, the southern portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo, southern and central Campeche, Tabasco, northern Chiapas, and far eastern Veracruz. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding conditions. SURF: Swells generated by Lisa are expected to affect portions of Central America today before subsiding. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |
