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#1114640 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 03.Nov.2022) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 2100 UTC THU NOV 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 92.2W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 92.2W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 91.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 93.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.4N 95.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.3N 95.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.7N 95.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.4N 95.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.0N 95.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 92.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |