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| #1114856 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 05.Nov.2022) TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Lisa Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022 400 AM CDT Sat Nov 05 2022 Lisa continues to produce a couple of clusters of convection to the north and east of the exposed low-level center. This is enough to keep the system classifiable using the Dvorak Technique, and thus the cyclone is maintained as a 25-kt depression on this advisory. It is expected that later today strong vertical wind shear and dry air entrainment will stop the convection, and thus Lisa is expected to degenerate to a remnant low in 12 h or less. The remnants are forecast to dissipate completely after 36 h. The initial motion is 335/3. A slow northward drift is expected today, followed by a slow southward drift until the system dissipates. The new track forecast has only minor adjustments from the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 19.8N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 20.2N 95.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/0600Z 20.4N 95.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 20.0N 95.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven |
