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| #111543 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 18.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.6W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 65SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..275NE 200SE 200SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.6W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 49.4W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.1N 50.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 65SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.7N 51.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 65SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 53.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.3N 55.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 28.2N 58.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 30.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 49.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
