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| #111687 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 PM 18.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 51.4W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 240SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 51.4W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 51.1W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.6N 52.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 54.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.4N 55.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.7N 57.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 31.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 35.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 39.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
