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| #111787 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 19.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 52.9W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 375SE 240SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 52.9W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 52.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 54.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 130SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.9N 55.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 85SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 130SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...225NE 190SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.7N 56.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...225NE 190SE 160SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 35.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...110NE 95SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...225NE 200SE 170SW 190NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 39.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N 40.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 52.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER MUSHER |
