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#112048 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 20.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 56.3W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 56.3W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.3N 57.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.4N 57.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...225NE 200SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.3N 56.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...225NE 200SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 35.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 40.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 275SW 275NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 46.0N 36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 50.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 56.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA |