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| #112104 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 20.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 57.1W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 57.1W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 56.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.9N 57.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.6N 57.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 90SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 33.9N 55.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 90SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 37.5N 52.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 43.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 150NW. 34 KT...240NE 275SE 300SW 275NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 48.5N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 52.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 57.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA |
