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#112437 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 22.Sep.2006) TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 53.0W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 45SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 30SW 75NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 350SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 53.0W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 53.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 36.8N 50.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 200SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 38.4N 45.3W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 40.3N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 42.2N 36.1W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 47.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 51.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 55.0N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 53.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB |